MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 19:34:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 38
May 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
3 - 0
Valenciennes

Gomis (23', 63'), Mendy (85' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Basse (51'), Kantari (52'), Venema (90+6')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Valenciennes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dunkerque 2-2 Caen
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 2-1 Quevilly
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawValenciennes
65.23% (1.627 1.63) 21.46% (-0.509 -0.51) 13.31% (-1.12 -1.12)
Both teams to score 42.71% (-1.292 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (-0.177 -0.18)52.48% (0.175 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (-0.153 -0.15)74.15% (0.15100000000001 0.15)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61% (0.474 0.47)15.38% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.82% (0.88200000000001 0.88)44.18% (-0.884 -0.88)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.47% (-1.821 -1.82)49.52% (1.817 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.67% (-1.314 -1.31)84.32% (1.311 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Caen 65.22%
    Valenciennes 13.31%
    Draw 21.46%
CaenDrawValenciennes
1-0 @ 14.26% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 13.34% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 8.33% (0.456 0.46)
3-1 @ 5.85% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.9% (0.273 0.27)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.46% (0.124 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 65.22%
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.3% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.46%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-2 @ 3.52% (-0.295 -0.3)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 13.31%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Valenciennes
2-2
Caen
Lilepo (8'), Hamache (29')
Le Bihan (87'), Abdi (90+1')
Daubin (53'), Ntim (61')
Mar 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 28
Caen
2-1
Valenciennes
Brahimi (9'), Mendy (77')
Bonnet (30')
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 14
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Cuffaut (39' pen.)
Mendy (23')
Mar 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 29
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Ntim (24')
Cuffaut (42'), Kaba (43'), Yatabare (59'), Masson (89')
Da Costa (13')
Abdi (59'), Cisse (88')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 11
Caen
1-2
Valenciennes
Chahiri (90+2')
Goncalves (73')
Abdi (16' og.), Robail (29')
Debuchy (31'), Robail (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris FCParis FC1282222111126
2Lorient127232314923
3Annecy126422013722
4DunkerqueDunkerque127142118322
5Metz126332012821
6GuingampGuingamp126152016419
7AmiensAmiens126151614219
8Grenoble125251714317
9Laval124351614215
10Bastia113621111015
11Clermont124351213-115
12PauPau124351317-415
13Caen124261416-214
14Red Star124261220-814
15Rodez AFRodez AF123361921-212
16Ajaccio11326813-511
17Troyes12327817-911
18Martigues12228725-188


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