Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 48.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.