Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Stevenage.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Harrogate Town | 46 | -11 | 53 |
| 20 | Carlisle United | 46 | -23 | 53 |
| 21 | Stevenage | 46 | -23 | 47 |
Last Game: Stevenage 4-2 Salford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Carlisle United | 46 | -23 | 53 |
| 21 | Stevenage | 46 | -23 | 47 |
| 22 | Barrow | 46 | -13 | 44 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Stevenage |
| 34.17% | 27.79% | 38.03% |
| Both teams to score 48.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
