League Two

League Two | Gameweek 30

Mar 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Spotland

Rochdale
2 - 0
Carlisle

Kelly (10' pen.), Grant (81')
Lynch (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Simeu (5'), Devine (63'), Dickenson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Hartlepool United	46	-20	54
18	Rochdale	46	-8	53
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47

We said: Rochdale 0-2 Carlisle United

These teams are in completely different form right now, which is why Carlisle United head into this game as the firm favourites to take all three points. They have been strong defensively, while proving themselves to have attacking options too, and that could be what separates them both in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Carlisle United
43.6%	27.09%	29.31%

Both teams to score 48.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.78%

56.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.74%

77.27%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41%

25.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.54%

60.46%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.56%

34.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.84%

71.16%

Score Analysis

Rochdale 43.6%

Carlisle United 29.31%

Draw 27.09%

Rochdale	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 12.01% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.6%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.23% Total : 29.31%