MX23RW : Thursday, December 26 02:57:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 30
Mar 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Spotland
Carlisle United

Rochdale
2 - 0
Carlisle

Kelly (10' pen.), Grant (81')
Lynch (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Simeu (5'), Devine (63'), Dickenson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rochdale 0-2 Carlisle United

These teams are in completely different form right now, which is why Carlisle United head into this game as the firm favourites to take all three points. They have been strong defensively, while proving themselves to have attacking options too, and that could be what separates them both in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
43.6%27.09%29.31%
Both teams to score 48.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.78%56.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.74%77.27%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41%25.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54%60.46%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56%34.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84%71.16%
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 43.6%
    Carlisle United 29.31%
    Draw 27.09%
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 8.19%
3-1 @ 3.97%
3-0 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 43.6%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 9.39%
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.31%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Carlisle

Rochdale
15.4%
Draw
11.5%
Carlisle United
73.1%
52
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Rochdale
2-1
Carlisle
Morley (11'), Done (31')
Camps (67'), O'Connell (70'), Keohane (91')
Bridge (71' pen.)
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
Mar 6, 2012 3pm
Aug 16, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!