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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Bristol Rovers

Carlisle
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Dennis (72')
Armer (65'), Dickenson (90+6'), Dennis (90+6'), Patrick (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Taylor (90+6'), Saunders (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Carlisle United 0-1 Bristol Rovers

Both teams head into this match in vastly different league positions, but they are in great form, picking up results on a regular basis, while they have defended well. They have each been picking up clean sheets as of late, and that could lead to this match being quite a closely-contested one that the visitors will likely just edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
30.11%26.74%43.14%
Both teams to score 50.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.42%54.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.08%75.92%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02%32.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44%69.56%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92%25.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23%59.77%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 30.11%
    Bristol Rovers 43.13%
    Draw 26.74%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 5.09%
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.11%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.27%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 4.05%
0-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.13%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Bristol Rovers

Carlisle United
33.3%
Draw
22.9%
Bristol Rovers
43.8%
48
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Carlisle
Evans (35'), Nicholson (86'), Saunders (90+4')
Harries (23'), Saunders (76'), Thomas (88'), Whelan (90')

Feeney (16'), Devine (26'), Alessandra (38'), Armer (60'), Guy (61'), Mellish (74')
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Bristol Rovers
Stacey (11'), Wyke (49'), Kennedy (85')
Miller (74'), Ibehre (90'), Ellis (90')
Bodin (27'), Taylor (57')
Parkes (51'), Lines (72')
Nov 14, 2015 3pm
Jan 15, 2011 3pm
Carlisle
4-0
Bristol Rovers
Cooper (73'), Berrett (44' pen., 82' pen.), Curran (57')
Thirlwell (41')

Sawyer (7')
Coles (51')
Oct 30, 2010 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Carlisle
Lines (48')
Campbell (39'), Sawyer (90'), Hughes (90')
Grella (87')
Berrett (30'), Taiwo (47'), Michalik (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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