

Oldham1 - 2Carlisle
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
22 | Barrow | 46 | -13 | 44 |
23 | Oldham Athletic | 46 | -29 | 38 |
24 | Scunthorpe United | 46 | -61 | 26 |
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Harrogate Town | 46 | -11 | 53 |
20 | Carlisle United | 46 | -23 | 53 |
21 | Stevenage | 46 | -23 | 47 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Carlisle United |
34.61% | 27.92% | 37.47% |
Both teams to score 47.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.98% | 58.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.3% | 78.7% |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.36% | 31.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.95% | 68.04% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.16% | 29.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.07% | 65.93% |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.61% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.44% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.46% |
Couto (31')