EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Banks's Stadium

Walsall
2 - 0
Swindon

Johnson (80' pen.), Abraham (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Adeloye (81'), Harries (85'), Darcy (90+5')
Minturn (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Walsall and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Walsall

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-1 Walsall
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Walsall	2	5	6
2	Crewe Alexandra	2	4	6
3	Leyton Orient	2	3	6

Swindon Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Salford City
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Grimsby Town	2	-2	1
19	Swindon Town	2	-3	1
20	Hartlepool United	2	-4	1

We said: Walsall 1-2 Swindon Town

Both managers will likely take the opportunity to make numerous changes to their starting lineups, something which could make their league form irrelevant. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to come through with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Walsall win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Walsall	Draw	Swindon Town
21.35%	22.78% ( -0)	55.88% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.49% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.95% (

-0)

45.06% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.6% (

-0)

67.41% (

Walsall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.83% (

-0)

35.17% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.08% (

-0)

71.93% (

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.05%

15.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.76%

45.25% (

Score Analysis

Walsall 21.35%

Swindon Town 55.88%

Draw 22.78%

Walsall	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 5.87% 2-1 @ 5.62% 2-0 @ 3.06% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.97% Total : 21.35%	1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 5.61% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.78%	0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 9.45% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.04% 0-3 @ 5.78% 2-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 2.77% 0-4 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 1.45% 1-5 @ 1.02% 0-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.4% Total : 55.88%