FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK

Banks's Stadium

Walsall
1 - 2
Swindon

Osadebe (37')
White (42'), Monthe (56'), Khan (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Simpson (16'), Kesler (67')
McKirdy (48'), Reed (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Walsall and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Walsall 1-2 Swindon Town

Both sides will be looking to bounce from exiting the EFL Trophy during the week, but Swindon look the more likely to succeed in doing so. They are 10 places higher up the League Two table than their hosts and had not lost a game for over month prior to Tuesday, so we are backing an away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Walsall win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Swindon Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swindon Town.

Result
Walsall	Draw	Swindon Town
23.96%	24.94%	51.1%

Both teams to score 50.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.65%

51.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.83%

73.17%

Walsall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76%

36.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97%

73.03%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9%

20.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.66%

52.34%

Score Analysis

Walsall 23.96%

Swindon Town 51.09%

Draw 24.94%

Walsall	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 7.39% 2-1 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 3.75% 3-1 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.86% Total : 23.96%	1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-2 @ 9.38% 1-3 @ 5.09% 0-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 2.04% 0-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.74% Total : 51.09%