Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 26.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Walsall win it was 1-0 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.