Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.