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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Rochdale |
60.9% ( 1.09) | 22.02% ( -0.53) | 17.08% ( -0.56) |
Both teams to score 49.57% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.07% ( 1.31) | 47.93% ( -1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.89% ( 1.19) | 70.11% ( -1.19) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.73% ( 0.81) | 15.27% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.03% ( 1.5) | 43.97% ( -1.5) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.51% ( 0.1) | 41.5% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22% ( 0.08) | 78% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.28% Total : 60.88% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.02% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 17.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |