League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Swindon2 - 4Mansfield
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Mansfield Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
33.87% ( 0) | 26.29% | 39.84% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.94% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.33% ( -0) | 51.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.54% ( -0) | 73.45% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% | 28.95% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.16% ( 0) | 64.83% ( -0.01) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( -0) | 25.48% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.68% ( -0.01) | 60.32% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Swindon Town 33.87%
Mansfield Town 39.83%
Draw 26.29%
| Swindon Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.87% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.83% |
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Form Guide
