Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Swindon Town |
29.35% ( -0.45) | 25.34% ( -0.02) | 45.31% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 54.16% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.73% ( -0.15) | 49.27% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.67% ( -0.14) | 71.32% ( 0.14) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.2% ( -0.41) | 30.79% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.93% ( -0.48) | 67.07% ( 0.48) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.26% ( 0.15) | 21.74% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.09% ( 0.23) | 54.91% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.35% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |