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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Leyton Orient |
26.18% ( -0.01) | 25.78% ( 0) | 48.04% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.55% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.09% ( -0.02) | 52.9% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.48% ( -0.02) | 74.51% ( 0.02) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.83% ( -0.02) | 35.16% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.08% ( -0.02) | 71.91% ( 0.02) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.96% ( -0) | 22.03% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.64% ( -0.01) | 55.35% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.18% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 11.71% 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 8.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 48.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |