League Two

League Two | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
1 - 2
Northampton

Wilson (45+3')
Randall (26'), Rowe (50'), Bugiel (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Appere (32'), Pinnock (50')
Brady (27'), Leonard (87'), Hylton (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Northampton Town
31.14% ( -0.01)	28.3% ( 0.02)	40.56% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.12% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.05% (

-0.09)

59.95% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.8% (

-0.07)

80.2% (

0.06)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.94% (

-0.06)

35.06% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.2% (

-0.06)

71.8% (

0.06)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.02% (

-0.05)

28.98% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.13% (

-0.06)

64.87% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 31.13%

Northampton Town 40.56%

Draw 28.28%

Sutton United	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 31.13%	1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.28%	0-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 40.56%