League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Sutton1 - 2Northampton
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Northampton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Northampton Town |
31.14% ( -0.01) | 28.3% ( 0.02) | 40.56% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.05% ( -0.09) | 59.95% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.8% ( -0.07) | 80.2% ( 0.06) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.94% ( -0.06) | 35.06% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.2% ( -0.06) | 71.8% ( 0.06) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( -0.05) | 28.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.13% ( -0.06) | 64.87% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Sutton United 31.13%
Northampton Town 40.56%
Draw 28.28%
| Sutton United | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 31.13% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)0-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 40.56% |
How you voted: Sutton vs Northampton
Sutton United
50.0%Draw
0.0%Northampton Town
50.0%6
Form Guide
