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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
57.39% ( 0.01) | 24.39% ( -0) | 18.22% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.79% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% | 55.45% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% ( 0) | 76.64% ( -0) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% ( 0) | 19.21% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.1% ( 0.01) | 50.89% ( -0.01) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.44% ( -0.01) | 44.56% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.42% ( -0.01) | 80.58% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 14.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 57.38% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.62% Total : 18.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |