League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Salford City
While Crewe have picked up four points from their last four home games, Salford have accumulated the same number of points from their last four away matches, and a closely-fought contest between the two sides could be on the cards on Friday.
Nevertheless, Salford will be regarded as favourites to come out on top, and they should have enough quality in the final third to breach Crewe's backline to claim a slender victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 50.09% . A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.77% .
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.15%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%) , while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.55%) . The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood .
Result Crewe Alexandra Draw Salford City 24.77% ( -0.37) 25.13% ( -0.06) 50.09% ( 0.42)
Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.17)
48.6% ( -0.05) 51.4% ( 0.05)
26.78% ( -0.05) 73.21% ( 0.05)
64.45% ( -0.35) 35.54% ( 0.35)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.69% ( -0.36) 72.31% ( 0.36)
79.47% ( 0.16) 20.53% ( -0.16)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.96% ( 0.25) 53.03% ( -0.25)
Crewe Alexandra 24.77%
Salford City 50.09%
Draw 25.13%
Crewe Alexandra Draw Salford City 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.77% 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.13% 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 50.09%
How you voted: Crewe vs Salford City
Crewe Alexandra
Draw
Salford City
26
rhs 2.0
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