League Two

League Two | Gameweek 36

Mar 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
4 - 3
Salford City

Agyei (31' pen., 90'), Tabiner (40'), O'Riordan (87')
Finnigan (90+7'), Agyei (90+1'), Finnigan (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Barry (19'), Hendry (45'), Mallan (85')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salford City

All competitions

Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Newport
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Salford City

While Crewe have picked up four points from their last four home games, Salford have accumulated the same number of points from their last four away matches, and a closely-fought contest between the two sides could be on the cards on Friday. Nevertheless, Salford will be regarded as favourites to come out on top, and they should have enough quality in the final third to breach Crewe's backline to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Salford City
24.77% ( -0.37)	25.13% ( -0.06)	50.09% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 51.22% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.6% (

-0.05)

51.4% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.78% (

-0.05)

73.21% (

0.05)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.45% (

-0.35)

35.54% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.69% (

-0.36)

72.31% (

0.36)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

0.16)

20.53% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.96% (

0.25)

53.03% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 24.77%

Salford City 50.09%

Draw 25.13%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Salford City
1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.77%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 50.09%