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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Harrogate Town |
55.89% ( -0.43) | 23.25% ( 0.17) | 20.86% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 52.26% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.33% ( -0.38) | 47.67% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.14% ( -0.35) | 69.86% ( 0.35) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.12% ( -0.28) | 16.88% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.09% ( -0.51) | 46.91% ( 0.51) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.87% ( 0.05) | 37.13% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.08% ( 0.05) | 73.92% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 55.88% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.24% | 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |