League Two

League Two | Gameweek 41

Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK

Sixfields

Northampton
2 - 1
Gillingham

Appere (32'), Hondermarck (82')
Norman Jr (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Brien (63')
Coleman (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 3-0 Northampton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Doncaster
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Gillingham
51.95% ( 0.32)	27.41% ( 0.01)	20.64% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 40.62% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.12% (

-0.32)

62.88% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.62% (

-0.23)

82.38% (

0.23)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.44% (

24.56% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.95% (

0.01)

59.05% (

-0.01)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.85% (

-0.55)

46.15% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.16% (

-0.43)

81.84% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 51.94%

Gillingham 20.64%

Draw 27.4%

Northampton Town	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 15.91% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 51.94%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.43% Total : 27.4%	0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.5% Total : 20.64%