Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Gillingham.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newport 3-0 Northampton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Doncaster
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Gillingham |
51.95% ( 0.32) | 27.41% ( 0.01) | 20.64% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 40.62% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.12% ( -0.32) | 62.88% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.62% ( -0.23) | 82.38% ( 0.23) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.44% ( 0) | 24.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.95% ( 0.01) | 59.05% ( -0.01) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.85% ( -0.55) | 46.15% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.16% ( -0.43) | 81.84% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
Northampton Town 51.94%
Gillingham 20.64%
Draw 27.4%
| Northampton Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 15.91% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 51.94% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.43% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.5% Total : 20.64% |
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 21, 2017 3pm
Form Guide
