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Championship header 2

League Two
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Carlisle United

Gillingham
1 - 0
Carlisle

Williams (90+4')
MacDonald (45+3'), Hawkins (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garner (45+3'), Moxon (57'), Barclay (88'), Dennis (90+2'), Feeney (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 Crewe
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford 0-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Carlisle United

 Gillingham may be riding the crest of a good-will wave, but they have scored 33 fewer goals and collected 25 fewer points than Carlisle for a reason this season; the Cumbrians may well bring their hosts back down to Earth if they can transfer their clear dominance onto the pitch this Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawCarlisle United
29.49% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 28.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 41.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.72% (0.011999999999993 0.01)61.28% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)81.2% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.97%37.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.012999999999991 0.01)28.83% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.017000000000003 0.02)64.69% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 29.48%
    Carlisle United 41.96%
    Draw 28.54%
GillinghamDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.17%
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 29.48%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 10.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 13.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.42% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 41.96%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Carlisle

Gillingham
21.1%
Draw
5.3%
Carlisle United
73.7%
19
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
1-0
Gillingham
Mellish (55')
Gibson (70')

Tutonda (29'), O'Keefe (70')
Dec 19, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Carlisle
3-1
Gillingham
Hope (7', 37'), Miller (93')
Liddle (73'), Lambe (86'), Miller (92')
Wagstaff (47')
Clare (25'), Byrne (57'), Parker (66'), Ehmer (77'), O'Neill (91')
Dec 2, 2017 3pm
Second Round
Gillingham
1-1
Carlisle
O'Neill (5')
Clare (40')
Grainger (18' pen.)
Feb 8, 2014 3pm
Carlisle
1-2
Gillingham
Legge (90' og.)
Chimbonda (37'), Redmond (77')
Piggot (44'), McDonald (88')
Nov 2, 2013 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Carlisle
Kedwell (63')
Legge (26')
Legge (82')

Livesey (10'), Amoo (53'), O'Hanlon (57')
Miller (79')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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