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Championship header 2

League Two
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Carlisle United

Gillingham
1 - 0
Carlisle

Williams (90+4')
MacDonald (45+3'), Hawkins (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garner (45+3'), Moxon (57'), Barclay (88'), Dennis (90+2'), Feeney (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 Crewe
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford 0-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Carlisle United

 Gillingham may be riding the crest of a good-will wave, but they have scored 33 fewer goals and collected 25 fewer points than Carlisle for a reason this season; the Cumbrians may well bring their hosts back down to Earth if they can transfer their clear dominance onto the pitch this Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawCarlisle United
29.49% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 28.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 41.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.72% (0.011999999999993 0.01)61.28% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)81.2% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.97%37.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.012999999999991 0.01)28.83% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.017000000000003 0.02)64.69% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 29.48%
    Carlisle United 41.96%
    Draw 28.54%
GillinghamDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.17%
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 29.48%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 10.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 13.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.42% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 41.96%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Carlisle

Gillingham
21.1%
Draw
5.3%
Carlisle United
73.7%
19
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
1-0
Gillingham
Mellish (55')
Gibson (70')

Tutonda (29'), O'Keefe (70')
Dec 19, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Carlisle
3-1
Gillingham
Hope (7', 37'), Miller (93')
Liddle (73'), Lambe (86'), Miller (92')
Wagstaff (47')
Clare (25'), Byrne (57'), Parker (66'), Ehmer (77'), O'Neill (91')
Dec 2, 2017 3pm
Second Round
Gillingham
1-1
Carlisle
O'Neill (5')
Clare (40')
Grainger (18' pen.)
Feb 8, 2014 3pm
Carlisle
1-2
Gillingham
Legge (90' og.)
Chimbonda (37'), Redmond (77')
Piggot (44'), McDonald (88')
Nov 2, 2013 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Carlisle
Kedwell (63')
Legge (26')
Legge (82')

Livesey (10'), Amoo (53'), O'Hanlon (57')
Miller (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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