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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Carlisle United |
29.49% ( -0.01) | 28.55% ( -0) | 41.96% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 44.82% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.72% ( 0.01) | 61.28% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.8% ( 0.01) | 81.2% ( -0.01) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.97% | 37.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.18% ( -0) | 73.82% ( 0) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.17% ( 0.01) | 28.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.31% ( 0.02) | 64.69% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.8% Total : 29.48% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 41.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |