League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
We said: Gillingham 0-2 Bradford City
Despite an improved performance in the FA Cup on Thursday night, Gillingham should not pose too much of a threat to Bradford on Sunday. The Gills have real issues scoring goals, while the visitors have won two of their last three away matches in the league, and are much the superior side.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.87% . A win for Bradford City had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 2-1 (7.79%) . The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (11.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bradford City in this match.
Result Gillingham Draw Bradford City 39.87% ( 0.47) 29.36% ( 0.04) 30.77% ( -0.5)
Both teams to score 43.17% ( -0.24)
36.45% ( -0.22) 63.55% ( 0.23)
17.14% ( -0.16) 82.86% ( 0.16)
68.84% ( 0.17) 31.16% ( -0.16)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.5% ( 0.2) 67.5% ( -0.19)
62.71% ( -0.51) 37.29% ( 0.51)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.93% ( -0.5) 74.07% ( 0.51)
Gillingham 39.86%
Bradford City 30.77%
Draw 29.34%
Gillingham Draw Bradford City 1-0 @ 13.54% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 39.86% 1-1 @ 13.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.34% 0-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.77% Total : 30.77%
How you voted: Gillingham vs Bradford
Gillingham
Draw
Bradford City
57
rhs 2.0
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