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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Bradford City
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Utilita Energy Stadium
Carlisle United

Bradford
0 - 0
Carlisle


Oliver (79'), Oliver (79+79')
FT

Moxon (37'), Barclay (56'), Armer (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Bradford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bradford City 1-1 Carlisle United

With both teams competing at the top end of the League Two table, it is very difficult to separate them, so we are expecting a score draw on Tuesday night. Bradford have made a habit out of drawing games in recent times, and that record is likely to continue in a match involving two very evenly-matches sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
39.78% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03) 26.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 33.23% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.57% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)54.63% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)75.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (-0.012 -0.01)26.88% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)62.19% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16% (0.028000000000006 0.03)30.83% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88% (0.031000000000006 0.03)67.11% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 39.77%
    Carlisle United 33.23%
    Draw 26.99%
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 39.77%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 9.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.23%

How you voted: Bradford vs Carlisle

Bradford City
50.0%
Draw
32.4%
Carlisle United
17.6%
74
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 3pm
Bradford
2-0
Carlisle
Angol (13'), Walker (69')
Cooke (79')

Whelan (56'), Armer (67'), Dickenson (80'), Omotoye (86')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
2-0
Bradford
Gibson (45'), Patrick (87')

Songo'o (64'), Angol (90+1'), Watt (90+4')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
3-1
Bradford
Bennett (37'), Zanzala (39', 56')
Zanzala (74'), Farman (79'), Alessandra (80'), Patrick (90')
O'Connor (64')
Watt (34'), Sutton (69'), O'Connor (73'), Rowe (90+5')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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