League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Dunes Hotel Stadium

Barrow
2 - 1
Gillingham

Morris (9' og.), Gotts (90+4')
Neal (15'), Kay (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Masterson (82')
O'Brien (45+2'), Nichols (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Barrow and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Barrow	Draw	Gillingham
49.22% ( 0.06)	28.62% ( -0.06)	22.15% ( -0)

Both teams to score 39.47% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.72% (

0.16)

65.28% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.91% (

0.11)

84.09% (

-0.11)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04% (

0.11)

26.96% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.7% (

0.14)

62.3% (

-0.14)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.04% (

0.1)

45.96% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.31% (

0.07)

81.69% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Barrow 49.22%

Gillingham 22.15%

Draw 28.62%

Barrow	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 16.24% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 49.22%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.62%	0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 22.15%