National League | Gameweek 51

May 4, 2021 at 5pm UK

Meadow Lane

Notts County
3 - 2
Sutton

Rodrigues (8', 90+4' pen.), Wootton (48')
Reeves (13'), Kelly-Evans (40'), Miller (49'), Rawlinson (90')
Kelly-Evans (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Olaofe (20'), Bugiel (62')

Coverage of the National League clash between Notts County and Sutton United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-0 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Sutton United
35.21%	28.83%	35.96%

Both teams to score 45.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.76%

61.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.83%

81.17%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.1%

32.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.53%

69.47%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6%

32.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.08%

68.92%

Score Analysis

Notts County 35.21%

Sutton United 35.96%

Draw 28.82%

Notts County	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.21%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.82%	0-1 @ 12.01% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.96%