Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
40.28% ( 0.02) | 22.71% ( -0.01) | 37.01% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 66.44% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.59% ( 0.02) | 34.4% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.68% ( 0.02) | 56.32% ( -0.02) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.24% ( 0.01) | 17.76% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.55% ( 0.03) | 48.45% ( -0.03) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.78% ( -0) | 19.21% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.09% ( -0) | 50.9% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | York City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Rochdale | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Gateshead | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Eastleigh | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | Woking | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
16 | Tamworth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 10 |
20 | Fylde | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
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