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AFC Fylde
Gateshead
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Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
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Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Chesterfield
National League
May 13, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Notts County

Chesterfield
2 - 2
Notts County

Dallas (6' pen.), Dobra (93')
Oldaker (57'), King (102'), Grimes (114')
FT
(aet)
Bostock (88'), Rodrigues (108')
Bostock (38'), Jones (96'), Mair (123')
Notts County win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Notts County record a penalty-shootout victory over Chesterfield in the National League playoff final to earn promotion to League Two.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Chesterfield and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Bromley
Sunday, May 7 at 3.40pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 3-2 Boreham Wood
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).

Result
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
40.28% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 22.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 37.01% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 66.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.59% (0.016999999999996 0.02)34.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)56.32% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)17.76% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.55% (0.029000000000003 0.03)48.45% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.21% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 40.28%
    Notts County 37.01%
    Draw 22.71%
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.1%
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 6.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.57%
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.01%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Notts County

Chesterfield
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Notts County
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
gameweek 28
Chesterfield
1-2
Notts County
Dobra (45+3')
Dobra (45'), King (45+4'), Quigley (50'), Sheckleford (73'), Jones (86')
King (64')
Langstaff (25'), Chicksen (72')
Rawlinson (45'), Scott (76'), Jones (90')
Aug 20, 2022 5.20pm
gameweek 4
Notts County
2-2
Chesterfield
Langstaff (60', 63')
O'Brien (37'), Rodrigues (64')
Mandeville (16'), Asante (55')
King (81'), (90+6')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 37
Notts County
1-1
Chesterfield
Wootton (45+2' pen.)
Vincent (39'), Kelly-Evans (64'), Rawlinson (84')
Whittle (13')
King (55'), Weston (58'), Quigley (84')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Chesterfield
3-1
Notts County
Maguire (60', 86'), Asante (90' pen.)
Whittle (7'), Kellerman (41'), Khan (89'), Miller (90+4')
Sam (40')
Cameron (62')
Jun 5, 2021 4pm
Notts County
3-2
Chesterfield
Wootton (30', 71'), Ellis (90')
Ellis (32')
Rowe (27'), Mandeville (42')
Maguire (24'), Oyeleke (32'), Gunning (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet1180323111224
2York City117311861224
3Forest Green RoversForest Green116321991021
4Rochdale116231991020
5Gateshead106221914520
6Oldham AthleticOldham115511510520
7Eastleigh116231915420
8Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red114431912716
9Sutton UnitedSutton114431715216
10Halifax TownHalifax11443108216
11AltrinchamAltrincham114341314-115
12Woking114341214-215
13Southend UnitedSouthend113531614214
14Yeovil TownYeovil114251213-114
15Solihull MoorsSolihull114251317-414
16Tamworth104241117-614
17Aldershot TownAldershot113441616013
18Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool11344710-313
19Braintree TownBraintree11245612-610
20Fylde112361322-99
21Boston UnitedBoston112361120-99
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead112271219-78
23WealdstoneWealdstone11146715-87
24Ebbsfleet11128823-155


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