Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
40.36% | 26.62% | 33.01% |
Both teams to score 51.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.79% | 53.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.22% | 74.77% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.09% | 25.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.1% | 60.89% |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.73% | 30.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% | 66.44% |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.37% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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