National League | Gameweek 28

Feb 11, 2023 at 5.20pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
1 - 2
Notts County

Dobra (45+3')
Dobra (45'), King (45+4'), Quigley (50'), Sheckleford (73'), Jones (86')
King (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Langstaff (25'), Chicksen (72')
Rawlinson (45'), Scott (76'), Jones (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-3 Woking
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.14%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Notts County in this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Notts County
32.08% ( -0.01)	22.28% ( -0.01)	45.64% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 66.57% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.36% (

0.02)

33.65% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.54% (

0.03)

55.47% (

-0.02)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

21.34% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7% (

0.01)

54.31% (

-0.01)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.63% (

0.02)

15.37% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.84% (

0.03)

44.16% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 32.08%

Notts County 45.64%

Draw 22.28%

Chesterfield	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 32.08%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.28%	1-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.28% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 45.64%