Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 14.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 3-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
67.57% ( 0.01) | 17.77% ( -0) | 14.66% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.82% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.92% ( -0.02) | 33.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.19% ( -0.02) | 54.81% ( 0.01) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.99% ( -0.01) | 9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.32% ( -0) | 30.68% ( -0) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.64% ( -0.03) | 35.36% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.88% ( -0.03) | 72.12% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.7% 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.63% 4-0 @ 4.46% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.23% 5-0 @ 2.15% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 4.95% Total : 67.57% | 1-1 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 17.77% | 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 14.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
> National League Full Table |