Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Maidenhead United |
49.89% ( -0.48) | 23.84% ( -0.13) | 26.27% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 56.79% ( 1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.26% ( 1.07) | 44.73% ( -1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.9% ( 1.02) | 67.09% ( -1.02) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.99% ( 0.22) | 18.01% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.11% ( 0.38) | 48.88% ( -0.38) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.26% ( 1.05) | 30.73% ( -1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.01% ( 1.22) | 66.99% ( -1.22) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Maidenhead United |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.58% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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