Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chesterfield in this match.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Chesterfield |
21.36% ( 0.06) | 23.4% ( 0.01) | 55.23% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.49% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.28% ( 0.04) | 47.71% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.09% ( 0.04) | 69.91% ( -0.04) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.34% ( 0.09) | 36.66% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.55% ( 0.09) | 73.45% ( -0.09) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.87% ( -0.01) | 17.13% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.64% ( -0.02) | 47.35% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.36% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.4% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 55.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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