Stevenage

2 - 0

Grimsby Town

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.