Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.