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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Stevenage |
38.39% ( -0.02) | 26.99% | 34.61% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.82% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.57% ( 0) | 54.42% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.2% ( 0.01) | 75.79% ( -0.01) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.44% ( -0.01) | 27.56% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.92% ( -0.01) | 63.08% ( 0.01) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.16% ( 0.02) | 29.83% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.08% ( 0.02) | 65.92% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.39% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.22% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |