Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Mansfield Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newport 2-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
32.96% ( 0.02) | 27.32% ( -0.03) | 39.72% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.5% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.03% ( 0.13) | 55.97% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.94% ( 0.11) | 77.06% ( -0.11) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.31% ( 0.08) | 31.69% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.89% ( 0.09) | 68.11% ( -0.1) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( 0.07) | 27.54% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.94% ( 0.09) | 63.06% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Newport County 32.96%
Mansfield Town 39.71%
Draw 27.32%
| Newport County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.96% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.71% |
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
0-0
Newport
Perch (41')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Form Guide
