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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Grimsby Town |
41.43% ( -0.59) | 27.08% ( 0.01) | 31.49% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 49.78% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.61% ( 0.14) | 55.39% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.41% ( 0.12) | 76.59% ( -0.12) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.66% ( -0.25) | 26.34% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.52% ( -0.33) | 61.47% ( 0.33) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.58% ( 0.49) | 32.41% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.07% ( 0.55) | 68.93% ( -0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.16% Total : 41.43% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |