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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 56.22%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Notts County |
21.95% ( -0.04) | 21.83% ( 0.07) | 56.22% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.58% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.96% ( -0.36) | 40.04% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.59% ( -0.37) | 62.41% ( 0.38) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.21% ( -0.24) | 31.78% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.78% ( -0.27) | 68.21% ( 0.28) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.87% ( -0.13) | 14.12% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.23% ( -0.25) | 41.77% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 21.95% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |