League Two

League Two | Gameweek 2

Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
3 - 0
Morecambe

Akins (45+1', 87' pen.), Keillor-Dunn (62')
Cargill (63'), Lewis (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McKiernan (45'), Love (45+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Morecambe (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

We said: Mansfield Town 1-1 Morecambe

This is a difficult match to call, as we believe there is not much difference between the sides in terms of quality. Four of the last five meetings between the sides across all competitions have resulted in draws, so we think the teams will share the spoils this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Morecambe
59.42% ( -0.1)	22.41% ( 0.04)	18.17% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.17% (

-0.11)

47.83% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.99% (

-0.1)

70.01% (

0.1)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.27% (

-0.07)

15.72% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.19% (

-0.13)

44.81% (

0.13)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.87% (

0.01)

40.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.23% (

0.01)

76.77% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 59.41%

Morecambe 18.17%

Draw 22.4%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 59.41%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.4%	0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.07% Total : 18.17%