EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Moor Lane

Salford City
0 - 4
Burnley

Olopade (44')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Berge (12'), Bruun Larsen (20'), O'Shea (27'), Odobert (81')
Rodriguez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Salford City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Harrogate 3-2 Salford City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Burnley

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Burnley 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Salford City 0-2 Burnley

Burnley defeated Nottingham Forest away from home to reach this stage of the competition, and they ply their trade three divisions higher than Salford City. Given the fact that Salford have also been in very poor form, the Clarets should be able to pick up a fairly comfortable victory on Tuesday night.
Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Salford City	Draw	Burnley
28.8% ( -0.01)	25.08% ( -0)	46.12% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.67% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.56% (

0.01)

48.44% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.43% (

0.01)

70.58% (

-0.01)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.23%

30.77% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.97%

67.03% (

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.97% (

0.01)

21.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.17% (

0.02)

53.83% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Salford City 28.8%

Burnley 46.12%

Draw 25.08%

Salford City	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 28.8%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.12%