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EFL Cup
Nottingham Forest logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Burnley logo

Nott'm Forest
0 - 1
Burnley


Kouyate (45+3'), Johnson (85'), Aurier (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Amdouni (90')
Ekdal (52'), Brownhill (66'), Muric (90+6'), Berge (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Nottingham Forest and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Burnley

All competitions
Last Game: Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Nottingham Forest 3-2 Burnley

 Nottingham Forest and Burnley have played a combined total of five matches this season, with each clash producing at least three goals. For that reason, we expect the two sides to serve up an entertaining encounter on Trentside, with Forest edging the contest thanks to their strong home record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBurnley
23.99% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 24.25% (0.0020000000000024 0) 51.76% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.12% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.51% (0.054000000000002 0.05)48.5% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)70.62% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.081999999999994 0.08)34.64% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (0.085000000000001 0.09)71.37% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (0.0019999999999953 0)18.72% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)50.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 23.99%
    Burnley 51.75%
    Draw 24.25%
Nottingham ForestDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 6.11% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 23.99%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 10.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 9.1% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.75%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Burnley

Nottingham Forest
68.1%
Draw
18.8%
Burnley
13.2%
144
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Burnley
Murphy (33')
Gray (57')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Burnley
1-0
Nott'm Forest
Vokes (68')

Jokic (42')
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Burnley
> Match Report
Feb 22, 2014 3pm
Burnley
3-1
Nott'm Forest
> Match Report
Nov 23, 2013 3pm
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Burnley
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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