Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Nott'm Forest1 - 1Burnley
The Match
Match Report
Burnley are denied a late winner by VAR as Callum Hudson-Odoi's stunning second-half strike helps Nottingham Forest rescue a 1-1 draw at the City Ground.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 2-5 Spurs
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Burnley |
26.58% ( -0.56) | 26.52% ( 0.34) | 46.89% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.68% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.5% ( -1.6) | 55.5% ( 1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% ( -1.33) | 76.68% ( 1.33) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.76% ( -1.33) | 36.24% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.98% ( -1.37) | 73.02% ( 1.37) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( -0.58) | 23.66% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.24% ( -0.85) | 57.76% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest 26.58%
Burnley 46.89%
Draw 26.52%
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.58% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.52)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.89% |
How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Burnley
Nottingham Forest
77.0%Draw
13.6%Burnley
9.3%257
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Feb 22, 2014 3pm
Form Guide
