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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
60.48% ( 0.05) | 21.96% ( -0.21) | 17.57% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 50.73% ( 0.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% ( 1.12) | 46.88% ( -1.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.87% ( 1.04) | 69.13% ( -1.04) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.95% ( 0.39) | 15.05% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.45% ( 0.74) | 43.55% ( -0.74) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.72% ( 0.86) | 40.28% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.09% ( 0.77) | 76.91% ( -0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.41% Total : 60.48% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.96% | 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.51% 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.07) Other @ 2% Total : 17.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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