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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
32.13% ( 0.01) | 26.22% ( 0) | 41.65% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.67% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.2% ( -0.01) | 51.8% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.43% ( -0.01) | 73.57% ( 0.01) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.85% ( 0) | 30.15% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.7% ( 0.01) | 66.3% ( -0.01) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.4% ( -0.01) | 24.59% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.91% ( -0.02) | 59.09% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.1% Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.13% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |