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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
40.44% ( -0.01) | 27.69% | 31.87% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.09% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.4% ( 0) | 57.6% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.63% ( 0) | 78.37% ( -0) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% ( -0) | 27.91% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.47% ( -0) | 63.53% ( 0) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.71% ( 0.01) | 33.29% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.1% ( 0.01) | 69.9% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.43% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.29% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |