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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Salford City |
20.5% ( 0.29) | 23.01% ( 0.3) | 56.48% ( -0.6) |
Both teams to score 52.45% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.86% ( -0.89) | 47.14% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.62% ( -0.84) | 69.38% ( 0.83) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.8% ( -0.21) | 37.2% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.02% ( -0.2) | 73.98% ( 0.2) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.52% ( -0.52) | 16.48% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.8% ( -0.95) | 46.2% ( 0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 20.5% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.99% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.15% Total : 56.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |