Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
