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League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Cambridge
2 - 0
Forest Green

Dunk (25'), Smith (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bunker (74'), Cooper (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Cambridge
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-0 Forest Green Rovers

We think the U's will be licking their lips at this fixture as they are taking on a Forest Green Rovers side that are in woeful form. Bonner's side need a victory to try and beat the drop, so we are expecting a fast start from Cambridge to set the tone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cambridge United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawForest Green Rovers
51.16% (-2.416 -2.42) 25.48% (0.959 0.96) 23.36% (1.457 1.46)
Both teams to score 48.71% (-1.083 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.03% (-2.307 -2.31)53.96% (2.309 2.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (-1.97 -1.97)75.41% (1.969 1.97)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88% (-1.893 -1.89)21.12% (1.893 1.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.04% (-3.03 -3.03)53.96% (3.03 3.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.75% (0.107 0.11)38.24% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25% (0.103 0.1)75% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 51.15%
    Forest Green Rovers 23.36%
    Draw 25.48%
Cambridge UnitedDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.255 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.448 -0.45)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.416 -0.42)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.303 -0.3)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.285 -0.29)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 51.15%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.42 0.42)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.704 0.7)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.76% (0.697 0.7)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.218 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.345 0.35)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.36%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Forest Green

Cambridge United
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Forest Green Rovers
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 1pm
gameweek 20
Forest Green
2-1
Cambridge
March (37'), Wickham (90+3' pen.)
Casey (45+1')
Janneh (89')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
gameweek 37
Cambridge
1-0
Forest Green
Hoolahan (38')
Ironside (32')

Wilson (23'), Matt (76')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
gameweek 17
Forest Green
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (58'), Matt (65' pen.)
Matt (45+1')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
gameweek 7
Cambridge
0-1
Forest Green

O'Neil (5'), Lewis (85')
Aitchison (78')
Stevens (21'), Mills (69'), Kitching (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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