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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 64.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 14.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.95%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Barnsley |
14.88% ( -0.11) | 21.01% ( -0.19) | 64.11% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 47.9% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.38% ( 0.59) | 47.62% ( -0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.18% ( 0.55) | 69.82% ( -0.54) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.8% ( 0.21) | 44.2% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.71% ( 0.17) | 80.29% ( -0.16) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.85% ( 0.29) | 14.15% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.18% ( 0.56) | 41.82% ( -0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.42% Total : 14.88% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.01% | 0-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 11.95% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 3.81% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 3.11% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 64.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
3 | Barnsley | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Blackpool | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
13 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
15 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Reading | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Crawley TownCrawley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Burton Albion | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |