Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-1 Derby County
This is a huge match for both sides, and it is set to be a fascinating battle on Friday afternoon. Derby desperately need a win to put to an end their recent poor run, and we are tipping the Rams to navigate their way to a huge three points in this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 17.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Derby County |
17.94% ( 0.02) | 22.8% ( 0.01) | 59.25% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.82% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.2% ( -0) | 49.79% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.2% ( -0) | 71.8% ( 0) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.43% ( 0.01) | 41.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.94% ( 0.01) | 78.05% ( -0.01) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% ( -0.01) | 16.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.84% ( -0.02) | 46.15% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 6.01% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.64% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.94% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.8% | 0-1 @ 12.34% 0-2 @ 11.13% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.7% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.88% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.58% 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 59.25% |
