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Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Oxford United

Forest Green
0 - 3
Oxford Utd

FT(HT: 0-1)
Joseph (11'), Goodrham (46'), Bodin (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-1 Oxford United

Oxford have finally started to pick up some decent results at the most important stage of the season, and given that this game means far more to them than it does to Forest Green, they are likely to emerge victorious. FGR have had a very poor maiden season in League One, winning just one home game in 2023, and there have been no recent indications they will be able to take anything from Saturday's game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawOxford United
24.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 25.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 49.48% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.44% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.81% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (0.009999999999998 0.01)37.34% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)74.13% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)22.03% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)55.36% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 24.63%
    Oxford United 49.47%
    Draw 25.89%
Forest Green RoversDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 3.99% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 24.63%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 12.44%
0-2 @ 9.41% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-3 @ 4.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 49.47%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Oxford Utd

Forest Green Rovers
22.2%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Oxford Utd
1-1
Forest Green
Boyes (19' og.)
Matt (60')
Bernard (38')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
Forest Green
Oxford Utd win 4-1 on penalties
Shodipo (64')
Bailey (45+1')
Nov 20, 2018 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Forest Green
0-3
Oxford Utd

McGinley (26')
Henry (36'), Mackie (47'), Browne (78')
Brannagan (65')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Dec 6, 2015 2pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-0
Forest Green
Roofe (76')
Hylton (12'), Rose (35')

Sinclair (53')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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