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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 38
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Cheltenham

Goodrham (38'), Joseph (52'), Browne (60', 65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Broom (45+3'), Ferry (75'), Rea (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Forest Green
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Cheltenham Town

 Oxford have netted just six goals in their last eight games at the Kassam Stadium, and Cheltenham have lost seven of their 10 road matches in 2023. Neither side can be backed for success on Tuesday night, making a stalemate likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
47.47% (0.424 0.42) 26.09% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 26.45% (-0.426 -0.43)
Both teams to score 49.85% (-0.347 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.07% (-0.288 -0.29)53.93% (0.291 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.62% (-0.242 -0.24)75.38% (0.245 0.25)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (0.070999999999998 0.07)22.72% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (0.105 0.1)56.39% (-0.102 -0.1)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.506 -0.51)35.5% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (-0.528 -0.53)72.26% (0.53099999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 47.47%
    Cheltenham Town 26.45%
    Draw 26.08%
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.86% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Cheltenham

Oxford United
44.4%
Draw
22.2%
Cheltenham Town
33.3%
18
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Cheltenham
1-2
Oxford Utd
Perry (63')
Chapman (43'), Taylor (84'), Ferry (90'), Lloyd (90+3'), Norton (90+4')
Chapman (90+3')
Brannagan (66', 86')
Joseph (61'), Bodin (70'), Taylor (90'), Brannagan (90+4')
Bodin (74')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 26
Oxford Utd
1-1
Cheltenham
Sykes (82')
Sykes (32')
Wright (48')
Thomas (45'), Blair (58'), Freestone (71'), Evans (72'), Raglan (77')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
gameweek 8
Cheltenham
1-0
Oxford Utd
May (68')
Thomas (65'), Blair (88')

Long (90+4')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Cheltenham
1-1
Oxford Utd
 Oxford Utd win 4-1 on penalties
Dawson (64')
Varney (39'), Alcock (50'), Addai (90')
Brannagan (45')
Brannagan (36')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
3-4
Cheltenham
Johnson (21'), Obika (31'), Fernandez (42')
Nelson (73'), Ledson (80'), Ruffels (93')
Eisa (9', 99'), Wright (66', 90')
Storer (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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